The Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute (SAMSI) is pleased to be hosting Greg Fishel, Chief Meteorologist, as he gives a talk on “The Changing Climate of Weather Prognostication: The Irony of Uncertainty Leader to Better Forecasts” on Wednesday, December 4 at 7 p.m. at the James B. Hunt Library on NCSU’s Centennial Campus.
For years, computer model forecasts have been shown on TV as a single, what we call deterministic solution. These forecasts are destined to be wrong, with the only question being by how much. A different approach is sprouting roots, where the emphasis is not just on a forecast, but on the degree of uncertainty in that forecast. Greg will discuss how talking about uncertainty will help in delivering a better forecast.
The lecture is free and open to the public. We hope to see you there!